The Royal Institute of British Architects (澳门王中王) has published the latest Future Trends survey results, a monthly report of the business and employment trends affecting the architects鈥 profession. 听
In October, the 澳门王中王 Future Trends Workload Index fell by 3 points to a balance figure of -20. In the next three months, 12% of practices expect workloads to increase, 32% expect workloads to decrease and 56% expect them to remain the same. 听
All the monitored work sectors have once again posted a negative balance. The private housing sector has posted the lowest figure 鈥 remaining the same as last month, at -17. The biggest fall in confidence has been in the public sector, which posted a balance figure of 鈥12, down from 鈥8 in September. This is closely followed by the community sector, posting a score 鈥10, compared to -7 last month. The commercial sector, which includes offices, retail, and entertainment has fallen by 1 point to -8. 听听
Levels of confidence continue to vary by practice size. The outlook among small practices (1-10 staff) has fallen further, with a score of -26, down from -21 in September. 35% of small practices now expect workloads to decrease whilst only 9% expect them to grow. In contrast, large (50+ staff) and medium-sized practices (11+ staff), remain optimistic about future workloads, returning a combined balance figure of +15, the same as last month. 听
Confidence continues to fall in all regions. London remains the most pessimistic, posting a balance score of 鈥32, down from 鈥23 in September. 40% of London-based practices now expect workloads to fall. Outside of the capital, the South of England and the Midlands & East Anglia have both slipped further into negative territory this month, posting -27 and 鈥23 respectively. In other regions there are some signs of pessimism abating. Wales and the West has posted a figure of 鈥5, up from 鈥17 in September and the North of England has posted a score of 鈥3, up from 鈥5. 听
In terms of staffing: 听
- Following a fall into negative territory in September (-6), the index rose this month to zero, suggesting stable permanent staffing levels in the coming months. 听听
- In the next three month, 8% of practices expect to employ fewer permanent staff, 8% expect to employ more, and 85% expect permanent staffing levels to stay the same. 听听
- Overall, medium (11+ staff) and large (50+ staff) practices are positive about future staffing levels, with a combined figure of +9. Small (1 - 10 staff) practices continue to expect falling permanent staff numbers with an index figure of -2. 听听
- Regionally, the picture is mixed. Both Wales & The West (+14) and the South of England (+5) have returned positive figures for October. While still negative, London has somewhat recovered this month, returning a score of -3. The Midlands & East Anglia (-5) and the North of England (-5) also returned negative Index figures this month. 听听
- The Temporary Staffing Index remained negative, posting a balance figure of -1 in October, compared to -2 in September. 听听
- Levels of personal underemployment have decreased again slightly; in October 13% reported being personally underemployed in the previous month, compared to 16% in September. 听
澳门王中王 Head of Economic Research and Analysis,鈥础诲谤颈补苍鈥疢补濒濒别蝉辞苍, said:鈥 听
鈥淚n the context of wider economic and political uncertainty 鈥 architects鈥 confidence in future workloads has continued to fall. Current workloads are just 92% of what they were a year ago. 听
From planning delays to product cost inflation, PII cost and exclusions, and projects failing to progress past design stages as costs become clear, practices are grappling with persistent challenges. 听
However, when comparing our current figures to previous downturns, one significant difference emerges: pessimism about future work has not resulted in widespread anticipation of staff losses. In our post-Brexit environment, qualified, talented architectural staff are hard to recruit and retain. So far practices are, overall, seeking to keep staff. 听
Once again, our findings suggest the architects' market is entering a challenging period of contracting workloads. To mitigate a prolonged recession, the UK must invest in creating sustainable homes and infrastructure now. This will help to increase productivity and tackle the climate emergency head-on. 听
We will continue to report these findings to the Government and work with other built environment bodies to monitor ongoing trends.鈥 听听
ENDS听
- Media contact: Isabel.Campbell@riba.org听听听
- Completed by a mix of small, medium and large firms based on a geographically representative sample, the 澳门王中王 Future Trends Survey was launched in January 2009 to monitor business and employment trends affecting the architects鈥 profession.听听
- 226 practices took part in the October 2022 survey.听听听
- The survey is carried out by the 澳门王中王 in partnership with the Fees Bureau. Results of the survey, including a full graphical analysis, are published each month here.听听
- The definition for the workload balance figure is the difference between those expecting more work and those expecting less. A negative figure means more respondents expect less work than those expecting more work. This figure is used to represent the 澳门王中王 Future Trends workload index.听听
- The definition for the staffing balance figure is the difference between those expecting to employ more permanent staff in the next three months and those expecting to employ fewer. A negative figure means more respondents expect to employ fewer permanent staff. This figure is used to represent the 澳门王中王 Future Trends staffing index.听听
- To participate in the 澳门王中王 Future Trends Survey, please contact the 澳门王中王 Practice Department on 020 7307 3749 or email practice@riba.org. The survey takes approximately five minutes to complete each month, and all returns are independently processed in strict confidence.听听
- The Royal Institute of British Architects (澳门王中王) is a global professional membership body that serves its members and society in order to deliver better buildings and places, stronger communities and a sustainable environment. Follow for regular updates.听
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